UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick North Dakota
  
North Dakota          
W-L: ( 4- 5) PR = 91.5697

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 0- 6 214 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 0- 2 227 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 8- 7 227 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 0- 4 228 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 16- 8 301 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 5- 2 301 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 5- 2 318 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 0- 8 421 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 2- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A San Diego State         0- 6      -6    -1    --    -4.58
   214 A Baylor                  0- 2      -2    -3           1.40
   227 H UT Arlington            8- 7       1     1          -0.16
   227 A UTSA                    0- 4      -4     0    --    -4.48
   228 A UT Arlington           16- 8       8     0    +++    8.32
   301 H New Mexico State        5- 2       3     0    +      2.60
   301 H New Mexico State        5- 2       3     0    +      2.60
   318 A Washington              0- 8      -8    -6    -     -2.08
   421 A Minnesota               2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A San Diego State         0- 6      -6    -1    --    -4.58
   227 A UTSA                    0- 4      -4     0    --    -4.48
   318 A Washington              0- 8      -8    -6    -     -2.08
   421 A Minnesota               2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A UT Arlington           16- 8       8     0    +++    8.32
   301 H New Mexico State        5- 2       3     0    +      2.60
   301 H New Mexico State        5- 2       3     0    +      2.60

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A San Diego Stat  (25-23, 92.3)     0- 6       -7.65      11.72       0.74         2.80            -9.67
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     0- 2       -5.67      13.70       0.74         2.80            -6.91
   3 H UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     8- 7       -8.75      10.62      -0.74         2.80            55.31
   3 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     0- 4       -9.55       9.82       0.74         2.80           -12.33
   3 A UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)    16- 8       -8.75      10.62       0.74         2.80            63.63
   3 H New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     5- 2       -7.98      11.39      -0.74         2.80            59.62
   3 H New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     5- 2       -7.98      11.39      -0.74         2.80            59.62
   3 A Washington      (36-18, 96.7)     0- 8       -3.16      16.21       0.74         2.80            -3.38
   3 A Minnesota       (16-36, 91.2)     2- 6       -8.70      10.67       0.74         2.80           -11.14
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       194.74

winning pts = 238.1720 losing points = -43.4310

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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